Archives for March 9, 2018

Millennial millionaires agree that everyone should read this personal finance classic

In five years, Grant Sabatier of “Millennial Money” went from having $2.26 in his bank account to $1 million, thanks to a side hustle that he turned into a lucrative consulting company.

“As soon as I began this journey, I looked up the best-reviewed personal finance books on Amazon,” the now 31-year-old tells CNBC Make It. Since, he’s read over 360 personal finance books and “the best book on money, period,” happens to be the first one he picked up: “Your Money or Your Life,” by Vicki Robin and Joe Dominguez.

The 1992 classic, which was recently revised and updated, changed Sabatier’s relationship with money and his approach to spending and saving, he says: “The premise of it is that you exchange your time for money. And when you start thinking about how many hours of your life it took to save up the money to buy something, you really start thinking twice about your purchases.”

“Say I work eight hours a day and after taxes, make $10 an hour, meaning I’m earning $80 a day. I want to go out for a nice dinner on Friday and that costs about $80, meaning I spent an entire day of my life working for this meal. And then you start thinking about even larger purchases, like a $1,000 TV, and you think, ‘How much of my life did I trade for this? Is it worth it?’”

He’s not the only self-made millionaire who recommends the read. One New York City-based millennial who goes by the pen name J.P. Livingston on her blog “The Money Habit” retired with $2.25 million before age 30.

She had financial independence on the mind as a kid and picked up a copy of the personal finance classic “Rich Dad, Poor Dad” at age 12. The second money book she ever read was “Your Money or Your Life,” which “opened my eyes” to the idea of early retirement, she tells CNBC Make It. “That book, the concepts of it really stuck with me. That was the one that actually, of the two books, really spurred things for me.”

Then there’s Chris Reining, who buckled down to focus on his finances in his late 20s and became a self-made millionaire at age 35. Robin’s book is “the book that changed my life,” Reining writes on his blog.

It introduced him to the idea of tracking his income, spending and investments in a spreadsheet and graphing his “cross-over point”: when monthly investment income crosses above monthly expenses. “When this point happens is when you can seriously consider retiring because you are officially financially independent!” he explains. “No more income is needed from a job.”

Turning your financial goals into something visual such as a graph is crucial, says Reining, because “it drives home the point that you can, in fact, retire early.”

He tells CNBC Make It: “Once you start tracking this stuff and seeing it month to month and then year to year, you really start to understand, ‘If I spend less, that means I’m saving and investing more. And if I’m saving and investing more, I’m going to be able to walk away sooner. I’m going to be able to have financial independence sooner, because these numbers all work together.”

Insurance for your small business

As a small businesses owner, it’s important to watch carefully how your business allocates its hard-earned money. You may have limited cash flow, and if something unexpected happens, such as a fire or robbery at your business, you would need sufficient insurance to cover your losses. Sometimes you have to spend some money to save some money. Below are some key considerations.

The roof over your head

Your business premises must be covered against structural damage such as that caused by fire, flooding or a burst geyser. If you are the owner of the premises, you are responsible for the maintenance of your building, but if you are renting, these responsibilities fall on your landlord. Keep in mind, however, that some rental contracts state that tenants are responsible for windows on the premises, or even cleaning gutters – so it is best to obtain clarity to make sure you meet any maintenance expectations.

Everything under your roof

Your business’s contents need to be sufficiently covered. The cost of replacing everything must be factored in, keeping in mind that you must also take inflation into account. You can also have all-risk cover for the items you take with you to and from work, such as your laptop and cellphone.

Business interruption

We find that small businesses focus on insuring portable, expensive all-risk items – those that can affect immediate cash flow. However, a more prudent approach is to focus on things that could interrupt your operations and ultimately put you out of business. It is possible to insure against business interruption. If your trading is interrupted, how will you cover stock supply and financial commitments such as your overdraft, salary and rental payments? Rebuilding what you lose may be next to impossible without cover.

Professional liability cover

Some professions provide advice and services to clients that can be costly if incorrect. Depending on the industry you’re in, there are specific elements to consider when determining the right cover to protect you against claims made against you. The limit of the indemnity cover is determined by various aspects based on your previous year’s gross fees and income, as well as current-year estimates and forecasts for the next financial year. To determine the premium and required excess, the insurer will look at your qualifications (and those of your business partners), insurance and claims history.

Goods-in-transit cover

If you’re in the business of transporting goods to your customers, road accidents are a risk, and happen more often than you might think. Goods-in-transit cover does not extend to transporting your own goods (for example, if you are moving to different premises) but does cover goods you are delivering on consignment. This will cover you from the time the goods are loaded and secured at your business premises to the time they are offloaded at the consignee’s premises.

Fidelity insurance

Fidelity insurance is designed to protect you against losses incurred as a direct result of fraud or theft by an employee. There are a few technicalities, such as that the employee that commits fraud must have gained financially. When the crime was committed will also have a bearing on the outcome.

Determining how much cover you need will be based on your risk profile and other relevant information, such as how many staff you have, stock flow and possible incentives to commit fraud. If your business sells luxury items, for instance, and the value of your stock is high, it will be more susceptible to crime, as it is physical stock that can be stolen.

For small businesses, stock theft or even low-level financial fraud could be financially crippling without cover.

Cyber security

Many business owners make use of the cloud to store data. Although this puts you at risk of your data being compromised or stolen through a cyber-attack, many of the same risks exist if your data is stored locally on your own server.

Risks can be difficult to eradicate completely, but you can insure against data risks under a cyber insurance product. As with any other type of insurance, providers will have certain requirements you must fulfil for them to assume liability.

It is reassuring to know that you can insure yourself against these risks, but commercial insurance does tend to be complex. It is, therefore, best to consult a qualified adviser who can help you to assess and quantify the risks unique to your business.

5 Tips to Planning a High Class Event on a Budget

Proven tricks of the trade, will help you plan an event with minimal resources, without making it obvious that you were on a shoestring budget.

We can all agree that planning any event can be a really expensive affair. Even without getting into the nitty-gritty, the whole process is a taxing and possibly daunting experience. Without proper research and planning, it is very easy to miss out on the important details. This will ensure that your event ends up being a huge flop.

That’s why most people don’t believe that it is possible to plan a great event on a small budget. In event planning, the truth is that some events need a bigger budget than others because of a wide range of factors. But many believe that that the higher the budget, the better the event will be. Most times, this simply isn’t true.

What you need are some proven tricks of the trade. These will help you plan an event with minimal resources – without making it obvious that you were on a shoestring budget. So here are 5 tips that you can follow to ensure that your event maintains high standards without necessarily having to break the bank:

1. Location First

The most important step to throwing a great event is to pick the right location. This will also take up a huge chunk of your budget. So make sure to do your research and explore your options early on in the planning stages. This is because you need to negotiate the price & compare event venues to determine which one is suitable for what you want to plan.

Keep in mind that finding an event location is already an uphill task without the limitations of a small budget. Avoid last-minute bookings because they only mean that you will be spending more than what you allocated.

2. Get Creative with Food and Drinks

Catering to a large group of people can be difficult. That’s because everyone has a diverse palette and tolerance for certain foods. Unless you are hosting a culinary event, the food and drinks shouldn’t feature as a highlight. This means that, while you will be serving great food, you shouldn’t necessarily focus on fancy entrees and appetizers.

With a limited budget, stay away from the mundane and conventional options. Think in the lines of salad bars, water stations and signature cocktails for the event. You can also provide meal and drink vouchers for your guests.

3. Go Digital

A high-class event means that there is an exclusive guest list and invitations to go with it. Get creative with your invites by going digital. Gone are the days where you would have to print and deliver the invitations to your attendees. Thanks to technology, you can easily create these invitations and send them out with any updates to your guests digitally.

4. Location and Transportation Costs

Limiting the location and transportation costs is one way to slash your expenses considerably. A high-class event means that some of your guests will require transportation to and from the event. This all comes down to the location of the place.

So select a central location that is easily accessible by various means of transport. This is a great way to ensure that your guests will be responsible for their own travel arrangements. If this isn’t possible, get creative and think about carpooling or other affordable transport services.

5. Set the Date

Many planners think that the events that make the headlines have to be held during the weekend or other important days. But keep in mind that choosing a more “normal” date means that it will be cheaper to rent the more popular event locations. Pick mundane days that make sense in terms of travel time as well as the availability of your guests.

How to find cheap flight deals: 5 expert tips

Book early with Asian airlines for Christmas and ‘peak-east’ flights

Most airlines – especially east Asian ones – get their business from local passengers. This means prices are set according to national holidays and in Asia this means that flights around western holidays, such as Christmas and Easter, are often underpriced – as the airlines don’t anticipate demand then. This is when good deals can be available. For example, last year AirChina had flights from the UK to Australia over Christmas in the low £400s. Garuda Indonesia also underpriced its flights to Bali and across Indonesia during the Christmas and New Year period. All east Asian airlines, and in particular Chinese airlines, are worth watching for this.

For last-minute flights consider charter airlines

Savings are available on last-minute flights from the UK if you look into charter airlines. Most airlines, even budget ones, will typically raise fares for nearly all routes a couple of weeks prior to departure, purely because they know that last-minute travellers are less budget-conscious, as they are often travelling for business or due to an emergency. However, specifically in the UK, there are two charter airlines that are an exception to this: Thomas Cook and Tui (formerly Thomson).

This is because they structure their business around package holidays and, often left with undersold capacity, will offload their last-minute seats for low fares. If you’re keen on a last-minute one- or two-week getaway somewhere exotic but where the specific destination is not that important to you, I’d look there to score the biggest savings. Here is an example of how to spot them on Tui, showing fares such as return.

It’s rarer to find cheap last-minute flights with non-charter airlines. With those airlines the best time to book is around 6 to 12 weeks in advance – which is based on statistics garnered from tracking all flights. However, it varies heavily by airline, route and season, making it difficult to predict these. It’s all based on supply and demand, so if a certain route has a lot of demand this year it won’t fall in price.

Look out for flash sales

Getting a cheap flight is really about timing. Prices fluctuate heavily and often on all routes. Booking a flight today from London to Bali could cost £600, but tomorrow it could be £300 on the same airline. These unannounced sales – when an airline suddenly drops its prices – are triggered because airlines release tickets 11 months in advance and predict what percentage of tickets will be sold as time moves on. For example, after five months they may expect to have sold 30% of the tickets but if sales are not as high as anticipated, it will announce a flash sale. Prices will plummet (by up to 60% on occasions) for a few days until demand catches up.

This varies from airline to airline: during Christmas and January last year, Qatar Airlines were selling flights to Bali and Thailand for around £300; and a few months ago, Singapore Airlines launched routes from Manchester to Houston for as little as £200 return.

Don’t look blindly to spot these sales. Track fares to your destination(s) using tools such as , then book the moment you see a significant price drop.

Don’t assume flight aggregators offer the best prices

Some think that aggregators such as Skyscanner or Kayak always lead to an online travel agent (OTA) with the cheapest flight price. But while they can help with some airlines, others are better booked directly. These include low-cost carriers such as Norwegian, and charter airlines such as Thomas Cook. Anything but a standard full-service international carrier will often have cheaper prices if you book through the airline itself.

Always check, and be discerning. Sometimes OTAs won’t include all of their fees upfront. Also, if you think you might need to change or cancel your flight, it’s better to book through the airline as aggregators add cancelation fees. Only book with an OTA if you are certain of your flight dates – and only if you’re getting a significantly lower fare. For example, on long-haul KLM flights there is only £15-£20 off if booked with an aggregator. With BA, aggregators could offer a discount of up to £60 on a long-haul economy ticket – a more significant saving. And most short-haul European flights are best booked directly with the airline as the price is often roughly the same.

Take advantage of one-way flights heading west

Avoid one-way flights when flying east from the UK but grab them when travelling west. The way the airline industry is developing means there are a lot of airlines – like Thomas Cook and Norwegian – offering budget long-haul flights. The routes these airlines have started flying are mainly between Europe and North America.

While most airlines put a heavy surcharge on one-way tickets (often charging 80% of or sometimes the same price as a return), airlines such as Norwegian offer one-way tickets for roughly half the price of a return. This affects other airline’s prices, such as TAP Portugal and KLM, too. This means for trips to the US, particularly those when you might not know the exact date, or airport of your return, it makes sense to book a one-way ticket there, and another one back.

Flying east, however, there are few routes that allow you to fly one-way at a decent fare. So you should book a return flight; and if it’s multi-city, book it all at once.

Why Does General Motors Want to Boost Production of the Chevy Bolt?

General Motors (NYSE: GM) CEO Mary Barra said the company will boost its production of the battery-electric Chevrolet Bolt EV to keep pace with rising global demand.

Clearly, GM thinks it can sell considerably more Bolts than it’s making right now. It’s a sign that GM will remain committed to its electric-vehicle plan even if the Trump administration chooses to loosen U.S. fuel economy standards, something Barra also confirmed.

But it’s not yet clear where those added Bolts will be sold. Here’s what we know.

Chevrolet Bolt EVs move down the assembly line at GM’s Orion Assembly Plant in Orion Township, Michigan. GM plans to boost production of the Bolt at the Orion factory later this year.

What Barra said: More Bolts are on the way

In prepared remarks at an energy conference in Houston on Wednesday, Barra said that GM will boost production of the Bolt at its Michigan factory later this year:

[B]ecause of increasing global demand for the Chevrolet Bolt EV, we are announcing today that we will increase Bolt EV production later this year at our Orion Assembly Plant north of Detroit. Our more than 100 years of manufacturing expertise gives us the flexibility to scale production to meet market demand.

Increased Bolt EV production benefits our customers around the world, our dealers and our employees, who are proud to build an affordable, ground-breaking vehicle that our customers love.

What will it mean to boost production of the Bolt? GM’s Orion Assembly Plant built 22,398 Bolts in 2017, according to figures from Automotive News. Nearly all of those (23,297) were sold in the United States. GM also built around 2,000 examples of the Opel Ampera-e, a rebadged Bolt, for its former German subsidiary Opel AG in 2017. (Opel AG is now owned by Peugeot SA (NASDAQOTH: PUGOY), but GM continues to build several Opel models under contract.)

Bolt sales increased steadily as 2017 went on, with GM making it available to dealers nationwide starting in June. But the pace of sales dropped sharply in January 2018.

A bar chart showing U.S. sales of the Chevrolet Bolt EV in every month since its launch in December of 2016, through February of 2018. Sales ramped up steadily through 2017 to a peak of 3,227 in December of 2017, but then dropped sharply to just 1,177 in January of 2018.

The recent falloff in U.S. Bolt sales is probably not a sign of trouble for the Bolt. It’s likely due to the way GM has used incentives. Toward the end of 2017, GM began offering fairly generous incentives on 2017-model year Bolts. Most of those 2017 models were sold by the end of the year, and GM’s incentives on 2018 models are much more modest.

But while I don’t think that U.S. retail demand for the Bolt has really tailed off, I do think that until and unless GM revamps or upgrades the Bolt, U.S. retail sales are unlikely to rise much above the level we saw late last year.

So where will these added Bolts be sold?

Why GM might want to make more Bolts

The key word in what Barra said might be “global.” As I said above, I don’t think GM is anticipating a big increase in retail demand for the Bolt in the United States. It’s possible that GM plans to begin exporting Bolts from Michigan to other countries in South America or Asia.

It’s also possible that GM is anticipating large fleet orders for the Bolt, including from its own urban car-sharing subsidiary, Maven. There’s a related possibility: GM’s self-driving vehicle, called the GM Cruise, is a heavily modified Bolt. GM plans to begin producing it at Orion next year; it’s likely to build at least a few thousand in 2019.

What will it take to boost production of the Bolt?

It’s believed that GM initially scaled its assembly line and orders from suppliers to build the Bolt (and Ampera-e, and eventually the Cruise) at a pace of about 30,000 a year (or 2,500 a month), a pace it hit in the second half of 2017.

Increasing production of a vehicle can be expensive, if an automaker needs to purchase additional tooling or set up another complete assembly line. But GM should be able to boost production of the Bolt without making significant investments in new tooling: Orion Assembly is running on just one shift of workers right now, and the only other model built at the plant is the slow-selling Chevrolet Sonic subcompact.

GM probably won’t have to make big changes to the factory in order to expand Bolt production. But boosting output could still take some time, though it won’t be anything like the fits and starts we’ve seen as Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has tried to ramp up production of its Model 3. (By the way, did you catch Barra’s subtle dig at Tesla? The reference to “more than 100 years of manufacturing expertise” is a reminder to investors that mass production isn’t a challenge for GM in the way that it seems to be for the Silicon Valley upstart.)

While Tesla appears to be trying to reinvent auto manufacturing from first principles, the reasons why it’ll take time to ramp up production of the Bolt are comparatively mundane. First, the companies that supply parts for the Bolt will have to ramp up their own production lines, and that won’t happen overnight. Second, depending on GM’s production target, the factory may have to hire and train a second shift of workers.

The upshot: Despite the recent U.S. sales decline, GM is upbeat about the Bolt

While the Bolt’s total sales volumes are barely a drop in GM’s global bucket, the little electric crossover has outsized significance for GM and its investors. It’s not just GM’s way of demonstrating that it has the technology to be competitive as the world shifts to electric vehicles, it’s also GM’s lead product for new business models like urban car-sharing and (soon) self-driving taxis.

If GM is able to build and sell (for instance) an additional 30,000 Bolts a year, that’s much more significant than building another 30,000 SUVs, even if it doesn’t have the same impact on GM’s bottom line. It’s an important indicator of how well GM is adapting to the drastic changes coming to its industry. So far, signs suggest that GM is adapting quite well — better than most of its rivals.

Is Applied Optoelectronics’ Stock Too Cheap to Pass Up?

Data by YCharts.

If there is one way to sum up the fortunes of Applied Optoelectronics (NASDAQ: AAOI) in the last year, it would be this: Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) giveth and Amazon taketh away. Shares of the fiber-optic supply manufacturer plunged after full-year 2017 results showed year-over-year contraction in sales, attributable primarily to lower demand from its largest customer, Amazon. That furthers a trend that started last summer when revenue began to slow down.

But with a P/E sitting at only 7.5 as of this writing, at some point Applied Optoelectronics (AOI) will be too cheap to ignore. Right?

First, a recap

The big takeaway from the numbers is that 2017 was a landmark year for AOI. Fueled by strong sales, the company surged to a nearly $2 billion valuation in July. But the stock has sold off over 70% since then, as sales growth went from seemingly unstoppable to negative in the fourth quarter.

Let’s not take too much away from the company, though. While sales slid in the last quarter of the year, revenue is still hovering near all-time highs. Plus, in spite of pricing pressure from competition, profitability is still strong. Management also announced its largest ever purchase commitment was signed. The customer is apparently Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) and is expected to begin contributing to revenue in the second half of the year.

Still, the drop in revenue and the accompanying steeper drop in profitability is concerning. It is proof that AOI hasn’t reached efficient scale in its operations yet, and the outlook is that sales will remain soft for a while longer.

Did something go wrong?

No, nothing is wrong with AOI, it’s simply that this type of business is highly cyclical. AOI is especially so, as large portions of its business rely on just a small handful of customers. The biggest, which AOI categorizes in its “data center” segment, is Amazon. Buildout of new data centers for cloud and e-commerce has slowed as of late, so without good diversification of sales, that trend is having a big negative impact on the company’s results.

An artists rendition of data and computing getting connected all over the world.

There are several more reasons for the sudden slowdown. Company management thinks the trend will continue in the current quarter because of regulatory headwinds in China surrounding internet censorship. That censorship has slowed down the develop of data centers crucial to things like video streaming and social networks. Chinese New Year, which landed on February 16 this year, also impacts production at AOI’s factories in China and makes for a usually slow first quarter.

More broadly, the company is also facing the current migration from slower optical technology to newer, faster standards. It takes time for data center design teams to integrate new tech into plans, and it also takes time for a company like AOI to upgrade its operations to account for demand.

The point is, this cyclicity is normal and to be expected. Up until this last report, AOI owners had little information to work with regarding when the current down cycle would end. The good news is that management sees it ending by mid-2018. The bad news: That point is two quarterly reports away.

Considering the stock traded at 30 times trailing earnings in April of 2017, its P/E of just 7.5 makes the stock look pretty cheap. But I can speak from experience when saying that “value” stocks like AOI can, and often will, fall much further than investors expect. That’s the nature of cyclical businesses, and it can be painful.

For those already in it for the long haul, now could be a decent opportunity to buy more. Don’t be surprised if the pain isn’t over yet, though.