Archives for October 19, 2018

How Artificial Intelligence May Make A Dent In The Technology Productivity Crisis

So far, the impact of information technology on overall productivity has been a mixed bag, and even disappointing. IT has been reshaping workplaces in a big way since the 1980s, yet, there appears to be little to show for all this progress — many argue that technology may even inhibit productivity growth.

There are many reasons why the proliferation of technology doesn’t automatically translate to productivity growth. For one, “technological disruption is, well, disruptive,” Harvard’s Jeffrey Frankel observed in a recent World Economic Forum report. “It demands that people learn new skills, adapt to new systems, and change their behavior. While a new iteration of computer software or hardware may offer more capacity, efficiency, or performance, those advantages are at least partly offset by the time users have to spend learning to use it. And glitches often bedevil the transition.” Add to that the fact that individuals and organizations are being inundated with security issues and cyberattacks, and things get even more gummed up. Finally, there’s the fact that people are being inundated with information and distractions by the minute.

Irving Wladawsky-Berger recently weighed in on this question in a Wall Street Journal piece, observing that technology is often brought in to automate existing processes — which essentially merely speeds up what the business is already doing. That was the dilemma with the first wave of IT in the 1980s into 1990s, and is likely what we’re experiencing now. The lesson the first time around was what Wladawsky-Berger identifies as the “Solow Paradox” — that “companies realized that using IT to automate existing processes wasn’t enough,” Wladawsky-Berger points out. “Rather, it was necessary that organizations leverage technology advances to fundamentally rethink their operations, and eliminate or re-engineer business processes that did not add value to the fundamental objectives of the business.”

That’s even more the case these days, as organizations pour more money into the promise of digital transformation, expecting overnight rewards. “We are experiencing a kind of Solow Paradox 2.0, with the digital age more around us than ever except in the productivity statistics. There are several reasons for this lag. First of all, we’re in the early deployment years of major recent innovations, including cloud computing, IoT, big data and analytics, robotics, and AI and machine learning.”

Will AI eventually increase productivity? Overall, it’s still unknown, but there are benefits that can quickly be realized on an individual or departmental-level scale. A recent report out of Constellation Research states that AI may help boost personal productivity in a number of profound ways. AI advances the traditional software model, “allowing applications to learn and improve over time, without needing to roll out a new version,” relates Alan Lepofsky, the report’s author. “AI-enhanced software can assist in a variety of processes, from automating mundane tasks such as scheduling meetings to filtering through thousands of documents in order to recommend the best content.”

AI may be a catalyst for productivity because it eases collaboration in workplaces. Here are some of Lepofsky’s ideas on how this is happening:

AI promotes more natural interaction. “Perhaps the subtlest yet important manifestation of AI is how people can now interact with devices and applications in ways that mimic human interaction,” Lepofsky states, pointing to user-friendly interfaces such as natural-language processing as an example.

AI helps to automatically categorize information. Until recently, tagging information or images was a manual process done by a dedicated few. “AI greatly assists in this process, either using image recognition to add tags to pictures or scanning documents to extract keywords,” he observes.

AI automates recommendations. “As AI learns our patterns and preferences, tools can start to recommend answers or replies for us.” These recommendations will eventually become automatic actions, Lepofsky says.

AI inspires creativity. “Not everyone has an eye for color, fonts, layout or other important elements of design. What if your applications could perform those functions for you?” Employees can become storytellers, he adds.

AI extracts insights. “One of the greatest benefits of AI is its ability to look at massive data sets and find patterns and trends.,” says Lepofsky. AI can extract the right and relevant background data to “help knowledge workers or first-line employees make better-informed decisions and recommendations.”

Technology appears to be more overwhelming than productivity-boosting. AI may help sort things out. Here’s hoping.

U.S. chip startup claims Huawei trying to steal its technology

Huawei has been virtually locked out of the U.S. market over security concerns.

Chinese telecom giant denies allegations

An escalating battle between the U.S. and China for supremacy in semiconductor technology is playing out in federal court between Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei Technologies Co. and a Silicon Valley startup backed by Microsoft Corp. and Dell Technologies Inc.

CNEX Labs Inc., based in San Jose, Calif., and its co-founder Yiren “Ronnie” Huang alleged in Texas federal court this week that Huawei and its Futurewei unit have engaged in a multiyear plan to steal CNEX’s technology.

A lawyer for Huawei denied the allegations, which were made in a countersuit in response to a complaint Huawei itself had filed last year, accusing CNEX and Huang — its former employee — of stealing its trade secrets and demanding detailed information about CNEX’s technology.

The intellectual property in dispute — solid-state drive (SSD) storage technology — allows massive data centers to manage the ever-growing volume of information generated by artificial intelligence and other advanced applications, prompting investment in CNEX from the venture-capital arms of Dell and Microsoft MSFT, +0.60% , which operate leading storage and cloud platforms, respectively.

Apple sued over FaceTime technology

Patent troll Uniloc on Thursday filed a fresh legal claim against Apple — its third in as many weeks — asserting the tech giant’s FaceTime technology infringes on an internet telephony invention developed by Hewlett-Packard.

Filed with the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas, Uniloc’s latest attempt at Apple’s cash claims FaceTime’s backend systems rely on technology that infringes on a patent covering intelligent-client features in IP telephony networks.

Granted to Hewlett-Packard Development Company in 2013, U.S. Patent No. 8,539,552 for a “System and method for network based policy enforcement of intelligent-client features” details techniques for controlling services in packet-based networks. Described in the IP’s main claims are methods for messaging policy enforcement including signaling, authentication and routing to correct services based on stored information.

Filed with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office in 2003, the ‘552 patent was assigned to 3Com that same year. The IP was reassigned to HP in 2010, then back to Hewlett-Packard Development Company in 2011 before landing at Hewlett-Packard Enterprise Development in 2015. HP last year signed over rights to Uniloc Luxembourg, which transferred the property to Uniloc 2017 LLC in May.

Uniloc in its suit asserts Apple’s FaceTime relies on the same basic communications structure outlined in the ‘552 patent. Specifically, FaceTime servers communicate with FaceTime-enabled devices over packet-based networks like Wi-Fi or 3G and LTE cellular. The devices then register an address, like an Apple ID or phone number, with said servers for later identification.

When a user initiates a FaceTime call, an encrypted query to connect with another device is sent to an Apple server. If the target is deemed compatible with the FaceTime protocol, a connection is established and the receiving device displays the caller’s identification information.

The suit cites iPhone 4 and later, iPad 2 and later, iPad Mini, the fourth-generation iPod Touch and later, and MacBooks “running OS X and later” as utilizing infringing FaceTime technologies.

Uniloc seeks unspecified damages, reimbursement of legal fees and other relief deemed fit by the court.

The FaceTime case is the latest in a series of Uniloc actions targeting Apple technologies. In the middle of 2017, the non-practicing entity went on a spree, filing suit against the iPhone maker almost once a month.

The patent troll already filed two suits against Apple this month, claiming the company’s AirDrop and network provisioning technologies infringe on patents once assigned to Philips and HP, respectively.

Uniloc is one of the most active patent trolls in the U.S., leveraging reassigned patents or vaguely worded original IP against a number of tech firms including Activision Blizzard, Aspyr, Electronic Arts, McAfee, Microsoft, Rackspace, Sega, Sony, Symantec and more.

Apple’s FaceTime was named in a separate patent suit dealing with VPN network technologies last month.

Amazon creates 600 technology jobs in Manchester

Amazon’s growth around the world has spurred it to hire thousands of workers in the UK in recent years.

Online retailer to expand R&D operations in the city as well as in Edinburgh and Cambridge

Amazon has said the UK will be “taking a leading role in global innovation” as it announced plans to hire 1,000 more technology, research and other skilled workers by next year.

The US online retailer is to open its first office in Manchester, with room for 600 new jobs in the Hanover Building in the city’s Northern Quarter – once the headquarters of the Co-operative Group.

Doug Gurr, the UK manager for Amazon, said the UK was “taking a leading role in our global innovation”.

“These are Silicon Valley jobs in Britain, and further cement our long-term commitment to the UK,” he said.

Amazon said the new Manchester team would work on research and development, including software development and machine learning.

Gurr said: “Manchester was at the heart of the industrial revolution and has a fantastic history of innovation. The city offers an incredibly talented workforce and a budding tech scene with some of the most exciting, fast-growing tech companies in the UK situated here.”

Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, said: “Amazon opening their new office in Manchester is another vote of confidence in our city-region as a global digital leader.”

In the latest phase of Amazon’s UK expansion, the firm said it was also creating space for 250 more high-skilled roles in Edinburgh, where it is taking three floors of the Waverley Gate building.

The company is also expanding its offices in Cambridge, where technicians work on the group’s Alexa digital personal assistant system, drone development and other Amazon devices. Amazon is making room for 180 new roles in Cambridge.

Amazon’s rapid global growth has spurred it to hire thousands of workers in Britain in recent years, most of whom are based at its warehouses.

The company this month responded to criticism of poor pay and conditions for its warehouse workers with the announcement of a pay rise to £10.50 an hour in London and £9.50 across the rest of the country.

However, it later emerged that the company had slashed share bonuses for those workers, offsetting at least half of the pay rise.

Dollar pulls higher as high-beta currencies slide

Yuan loses ground after U.S. stops short of calling China a currency manipulator

The U.S. dollar strengthened as Thursday’s session went on, leading to a softening of risk-sensitive currencies.

As the buck pulled higher, global equities, including U.S. benchmarks such as the S&P 500 SPX, -1.44% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, -1.27% pushed lower. Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he wouldn’t attend the upcoming investment conference in Saudi Arabia, which coincided with a brief spike for the buck.

Mnuchin’s decision followed Secretary of State Mike Pompeo saying the Saudi government should be given more time to investigate the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, whose suspected murder in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul has led to a number of business leaders and news organizations, as well as IMF chief Christine Lagarde, pulling out of the conference.

The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.01% was last up 0.4% at 95.920, while risk-sensitive currencies such as the Canadian dollar USDCAD, -0.2904% and Australian dollar AUDUSD, +0.1549% softened. The popular gauge for the greenback is on course for a 0.7% gain this week, its best performance since late September.

Emerging-markets currencies also deepened their losses against the buck, with the largest moves in the Mexican peso USDMXN, -0.1504% , South African rand USDZAR, -0.4477% and Turkish lira USDTRY, -0.1737% , against which the dollar rallied 1.5%, 1.6% and 1.2%, respectively.

The peso also suffered after earlier comments from President Donald Trump, who, in a tweet, threatened to close the U.S. border to Mexico over immigration issues.

Elsewhere, the Treasury refrained from labeling China a currency manipulator in its biannual report on foreign exchange practices released late Wednesday, saying intervention by the People’s Bank of China has been limited this year. But it did issue a stern warning about yuan weakness, which has declined by around 7% versus the dollar in 2018.

Analysts have largely attributed the yuan-dollar weakness to market forces, including the emerging-market selloff over the summer, as opposed to willful devaluation as a tactic in the U.S.-China trade war. A weaker currency makes a country’s goods more competitive on the global market.

The yuan weakened following the Treasury report. In Beijing, the Chinese currency briefly touched its lowest level since January 2017. One buck last fetched 6.9378 yuan USDCNY, -0.1095% , up 0.2%. In the offshore market, the yuan was at its lowest level since August on Thursday, with one dollar buying 6.9442 yuan USDCNH, -0.0778% up 0.2%.

The currency weakness also came as Chinese stocks hit four-year lows to lead Asian equities to the downside. The Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +2.58% dropped nearly 3%, while the Shenzhen Composite 399106, +2.58% lost 2.7% in Thursday’s session.

In other China news, the country’s gross domestic product data for the third quarter — expected at 6.6% on the year, its lowest since 2009 — is due at 10 p.m. Eastern.

In Brussels, the latest European Union summit on the topic of Brexit kicked off Wednesday, with the possible extension of the post-Brexit transition period to three years seemingly at the center of talks. This extension would give the U.K. an additional year to agree to a trade deal with the EU and is considered an olive branch in the negotiations.

The euro EURUSD, -0.0087% was slightly weaker at $1.1462, down from $1.1502 late Wednesday, while the British pound GBPUSD, +0.1690% bounced around between positive and negative territory, last trading at $1.3025, down from $1.3114.

In other European news, the Italian budget proposal was the source of negative headlines. The proposal, which projects Italy’s budget deficit to widen, was expected to be met with resistance in Brussels as it is in relation to European Union budget guidelines.

European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said countries questioning the European Union’s budget rules could damage growth and financial conditions in a summit on eurozone integration, according to Reuters. Draghi, however, did not name Italy directly in his remarks.

PayPal sees encouraging growth from Venmo; shares surge after hours

“We expect to see improvement in our Venmo economics next year and each year thereafter,” PayPal CFO John Rainey said..

Company beats expectations on quarterly earnings and revenue

PayPal Holdings Inc. says that its efforts to make money from Venmo are nearing a “tipping point,” news that helped send shares of the payments company up 7% in after-hours trading Thursday.

Chief Executive Dan Schulman said on the company’s earnings conference call that 24% of Venmo users have engaged in a monetized transaction since launch, up from 17% in the June quarter.

“We saw significant advances across a wide array of Venmo monetization efforts,” he told investors.

PayPal PYPL, +6.50% has seen staggering numbers with some of its individual initiatives. Pay with Venmo, the company’s attempt to get users to choose Venmo for online purchases, saw 195% growth in volume on a month-over-month basis. Volume for the Venmo debit card rose 320% on a month-over-month basis. And the company processed more than $1 billion in Venmo instant-transfer volume in September alone, from users who paid a fee to instantly send money from their Venmo balances to their bank accounts.

The Pay with Venmo and debit-card efforts are fairly new, so it’s likely that PayPal is increasing revenue off a small base. Still, the early momentum is encouraging given that Venmo is considered one of the big growth catalysts for PayPal shares. Venmo has a loyal user base, but some analysts were concerned that monetization efforts were proceeding in a slower-than-expected manner.

“We expect to see improvement in our Venmo economics next year and each year thereafter,” Chief Financial Officer John Rainey said.

PayPal’s updates on Venmo came in conjunction with a strong quarterly report, in which the company beat earnings and revenue expectations, but fell a bit short of volume estimates. The company issued an early 2019 forecast that came in slightly above FactSet’s top-line estimates and slightly below earnings estimates.

During PayPal’s earnings call, executives shed a bit more light on eBay Inc.’s EBAY, -1.47% transition toward managing its own payments, which began in earnest a few weeks ago. PayPal cited “softness” from eBay, but Schulman clarified that the $20 million volume that eBay started managing in September has had “no impact” on PayPal’s numbers.

The third quarter was PayPal’s best yet in terms of net new active accounts, which Schulman attributed partly to new products and partnerships. PayPal announced an expansion of its American Express Co. AXP, -1.44% partnership earlier Thursday and began a new arrangement with Walmart Inc. WMT, -0.40% last week.